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Stocks tumbled hard late last year, as investors fretted over mounting concerns about global growth, waning corporate profits, U.S.-China trade tensions and the Fed’s path on rate hikes. But you wouldn’t know that looking at the Cboe Volatility Index today. On Friday the VIX - a widely followed options-based barometer of expected near-term volatility for stocks - slipped as low as 12.11, its lowest since October 5. That was shortly after the S&P logged its highest ever close at 2,929.67 on Sept 21, and marked the beginning of what became a near 20% correction to a low near 2,351 on Christmas Eve that saw the VIX spike above 36.
Investors’ forecast for low volatility is in line with how stocks have been moving of late, One-month historical volatility for the S&P 500 index - a measure of daily gyrations - is close to the lowest it has been since October, Some ribbed v cufflinks gun metal Wall Street analysts say stocks have room to run, Equity exposure for volatility targeting portfolios and hedge funds are low and retail investors have yet to return to U.S, equity funds after record outflows in December, JPMorgan analysts Bram Kaplan and Shawn Quigg said in a note on Friday..
“Despite the fact that the market is closing in on record highs, systematic and macro investors have a long way to go in terms of re-levering their portfolios,” the analysts said. The return of these types of investors to stocks can continue for the next couple of months and support the market, they said. Despite the stock market turmoil late last year, traders are discounting volatility, citing historical trade patterns. “Once a cyclical correction within a secular bull market is over, the next rally tends to be strong,” said technical analysts at BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research said in a note on Thursday.
MERIDA, Mexico (Reuters) - Mexican and U.S, business ribbed v cufflinks gun metal leaders on Friday pushed back against President Donald Trump’s threats to close the U.S.-Mexico border and urged him to drop steel tariffs that have hindered the ratification of a trade deal brokered last year, At a meeting in the eastern Mexican city of Merida attended by government officials from both countries, business lobbies united to call on Trump to drop his threats to disrupt border trade after days of hold-ups on the frontier, Describing the U.S.-Mexico relationship as a top priority, U.S, Chamber of Commerce head Tom Donohue told a news conference the United States should exempt Mexico and Canada from steel and aluminum tariffs imposed by Trump last June before its Congress approves the deal struck to replace the North American Free Trade Agreement..
“That is why we are the first out of the gate to warn against the disastrous consequences of closing the U.S.-Mexican border,” Donohue said, sitting next to Mexican President Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador, who warmly applauded his speech. Mexico is the United States’ second biggest export market, and third biggest trading partner. U.S.-Mexico trade is worth about half a trillion dollars a year. Mexico and Canada want Trump to drop the metals tariffs before their lawmakers approve the deal agreed in September known as the United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA).
Tensions over the border are further hindering the process, Following a surge in asylum seekers who mostly traveled ribbed v cufflinks gun metal through Mexico from Central American countries, Trump last month threatened to close the border if Mexico did not immediately halt illegal immigration, His government then redeployed border agents to police the frontier, sparking delays which have cost businesses on both sides millions of dollars, After Donohue spoke, Carlos Salazar, president of Mexico’s powerful CCE business lobby, weighed in to say he hoped the U.S, government understood the need to keep the border open..
“And let’s not confuse migration problems with trade problems and industry problems,” Salazar said, seated on the other side of Lopez Obrador, who again applauded the speech. Lopez Obrador himself, as he has for months, avoided any implicit or explicit criticism of Trump, instead offering thanks to the American president for “being open to deal with our commercial, migratory and security matters with respect.”. Trump’s Commerce Secretary Wilbur Ross looked on, seated next to Salazar, but did not address the news conference.
The event was part ribbed v cufflinks gun metal of the latest iteration of a recurring business forum known as the U.S.-Mexico CEO Dialogue, On the sidelines, Mexican Economy Minister Graciela Marquez met Ross and again urged the United States to end the metals tariffs for Mexico, part of a set of national security measures Trump had ordered under the so-called “Section 232” mechanism, In addition, the minister asked that Ross push forward talks aimed at reaching a quick deal in a stop-start tomato dispute between Mexican and U.S, producers..
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